Trouble Is Coming: The Fallout of an Over-Saturated Freight Market

An infographic of freight market volatility for truckload van according to DAT averages over 30, 90 and 365 days

Trouble Is coming.
The world is now starting to feel the importance of supply chain management. For months the world has been struggling with issues with the supply chain and now the fallout is coming.
The transportation industry saw a boom of freight, and carriers responded by increasing their operations.
We’ve seen this before.
In 2017 to 2018 there was a boom in freight transportation. The industry responded by increasing their operations to handle the increasing demands.
Eventually, the market crashed and over-capacity flooded the market creating what the industry termed as a “blood bath” with two major trucking companies filing for bankruptcy and nearly 800 carriers going out of business within the first 3 quarters of 2019.
History is repeating itself, but there are new events that may have a greater impact.
  • Outbound tender volumes in March are down 13%, compared to 2021.
  • Consumer spending is starting to shift away from physical goods.
  • Inflation has increased at an all-time high rate
  • Increasing fuel prices.
  • Conflict with Russia and the Ukraine
  • High inventory levels
  • Falling spot rates
We pulled 10 common lanes over a 30, 90, and 1 year time period to see what the average cost per mile rate was according to DAT. Looking at these numbers you can see that spot rates are falling, which means if you are locked in a contracted rate it might be time to analyze your pricing.
Companies that are able to monitor their cost per mile in real time will be able mitigate any impact from changes affecting the industry. We have seen some trends emerging on how different factors such as inflation and fuel prices can affect an enterprise’s profitability, but there is still plenty we cannot foresee. In this volatile geo-political environment, it would be wise to know your numbers.
What insights do you have? Share your knowledge with us below!

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